David L. Berkowitz, Investor and Advisor
Nearly 40 years of experience — from trading and research at a $250 million hedge fund in the early 1990s, to two decades as a portfolio manager, to teaching thousands of executives and employees how to create shareholder value through EVA and value-based management. Now helping individuals and families become shareholders through disciplined investing, concentrated portfolios, and direct stock ownership.
What Is Capital Allocation and Why Should You Care?
Capital allocation determines where a company puts its money. Every dollar can go toward growth projects, acquisitions, dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction. The CEO and CFO make these calls. Their decisions shape whether your investment grows or shrinks.
Here’s the problem. Most CEOs never learned how to allocate capital. They rose through marketing, engineering, or operations. Warren Buffett describes it bluntly: asking these leaders to suddenly become capital allocation experts is like expecting a talented musician to chair the Federal Reserve ( Buffett on Capital Allocation).
Great capital allocators share one trait. They have what researchers call a “North Star of value.” This guiding principle steers every major decision toward building long-term wealth per share. Companies without this compass drift toward short-term thinking and value destruction.
The Agency Problem: When Managers Serve Themselves Instead of You
Economists call it the principal-agent problem. You own the company (principal). Managers run it (agents). Their interests often clash with yours.
Research reveals just how severe this conflict can be. In a landmark study of 401 financial executives, 78% admitted they would sacrifice long-term economic value to deliver smooth quarterly earnings ( CFA Institute Analysis). McKinsey’s research found that more than 80% would cut R&D and marketing spending to hit short-term targets—even believing such cuts destroy value ( McKinsey Study).
Why does this happen? Executive pay packages create perverse incentives. One-third of U.S. executives have bonuses tied explicitly to firm size rather than value creation ( ECGI Research). Bigger companies mean bigger paychecks. This explains why so many acquisitions destroy shareholder value while enriching management.
The pattern extends to share buybacks. A survey of financial executives found that 68% cited offsetting stock-based compensation dilution as “important” or “very important” in their buyback decisions ( Morgan Stanley Analysis). About 37% of repurchased shares simply offset new shares issued to employees ( Harvard Law Forum). These buybacks don’t create value. They prevent dilution—often at inflated prices.
The Institutional Imperative: Copying Your Way to Failure
Warren Buffett discovered something disturbing early in his career. Intelligent managers make irrational decisions simply because their peers do. He named this force the “institutional imperative” ( Buffett 1989 Letter).
The imperative operates through four mechanisms:
This explains why industries experience waves of value-destroying acquisitions. One company overpays for a target. Others follow. Studies show that companies with growth-promoting bonuses make acquisitions with returns about 1 percentage point lower than peers. Their deals actually destroy shareholder value on average ( Growth-Promoting Bonuses Research).
What Superior Capital Allocators Look Like
Three investment archetypes consistently beat the market. Each solves the agency problem differently.
Owner-Operator Companies
When founders or families maintain meaningful ownership, performance improves dramatically. Research from Bain & Company shows that S&P 500 companies with active founders delivered total shareholder returns 3.1 times greater than other companies over a 25-year period ( Bain & Company). A Harvard Business Review analysis found these firms generated market-adjusted returns of 12% over three years, compared to negative 26% for companies led by professional CEOs ( HBR Analysis).
Why? Founders think in decades, not quarters. Their wealth ties directly to company value. They make tough decisions other managers avoid. Companies like Alphabet, Meta, Berkshire Hathaway, and Nike demonstrate this advantage ( Family Business Research).
One-third of S&P 500 companies qualify as family businesses, with founding families holding about 18% of equity on average. Their return on assets exceeds non-family firms by 6.65% ( Anderson & Reeb Study).
Cannibal Companies
Some companies systematically buy back their own shares at attractive prices. Done right, this boosts earnings and free cash flow per share. Stock prices eventually follow per-share metrics upward.
The key word is “right.” Many buybacks fail this test. TDM Growth Partners found tech companies with SBC-dilution ranging from 0.2% to 8.6% annually. One case study: DocuSign diluted shareholders 8.2% through stock compensation in 2023, partially offset by a 1.5% buyback—still leaving shareholders 6.7% worse off ( TDM Growth Partners).
Smart cannibals only buy when shares trade below intrinsic value. They treat buybacks as capital allocation decisions, not dilution management tools.
Value-Based Management Adopters
Companies using formal value-based management systems outperform peers. Research on 132 commercial banks showed VBM-adopters generated 5.8 percentage points higher annual total shareholder returns ( VBM Banking Study). They also outperformed on profitability, growth, and liquidity.
VBM works because it aligns incentives throughout the organization. Every employee’s objectives connect to shareholder value creation. Economic profit metrics replace accounting earnings as the primary scorecard. This prevents the short-term gaming that destroys value ( ACCA VBM Overview).
How to Evaluate Capital Allocation Quality
Ask these questions before investing:
Does the company have a clear governing objective?
The best companies explicitly state their goal of maximizing long-term value per share. Vague mission statements about “stakeholder value” often mask poor capital discipline. Look for specific metrics the board uses to evaluate strategic choices.
Who controls compensation structure?
Review proxy statements carefully. Watch for bonuses tied to revenue growth, EBITDA, or other metrics that reward size over value creation. The best structures tie significant pay to long-term stock ownership with extended vesting periods.
What’s the buyback track record?
Calculate whether past buybacks occurred at attractive prices. Many companies buy at highs and pause at lows—the opposite of value creation. True cannibals repurchase consistently when shares trade below intrinsic value ( Fortuna Advisors).
Does management own meaningful stock?
Skin in the game matters. When executives’ wealth depends on share price performance over decades, their interests align with yours. This is why founder-led and family-controlled companies outperform.
How does the board resist the institutional imperative?
Independent directors should challenge groupthink. The best boards question deal projections, resist peer mimicry, and hold management accountable for value creation, not activity.
The Bottom Line
Capital allocation separates great companies from mediocre ones. The agency problem creates constant tension between short-term earnings and long-term value. Most executives choose the easy path—hitting quarterly numbers while slowly destroying shareholder wealth.
But exceptions exist. Owner-operators, disciplined cannibals, and VBM-adopters consistently outperform. Their secret? Treating every dollar like it belongs to them—because often, it does.
Before you invest, understand who controls the capital. Their incentives will determine your returns.
Endnotes
https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2020/10/11/short-termism-revisited/
https://hbr.org/2016/03/founder-led-companies-outperform-the-rest-heres-why
https://www.consultancy.uk/news/12357/sp-500-companies-led-by-founders-outperform-their-peers
https://business-and-management.org/paper.php?id=134
https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2019/10/30/dilution-disclosure-equity-compensation-and-buybacks/
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/16/billionaire-warren-buffett-most-surprising-business-lesson-he-didnt-learn-in-business-school.html
https://www.falltide.com/p/thorndike-outsiders-institutional-imperative
https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/employment-and-growth/how-to-escape-the-short-term-trap
https://www.ecgi.global/sites/default/files/working_papers/documents/growthpromotingbonusesandmergersandacquisitions.pdf
https://www.morganstanley.com/im/publication/insights/articles/article_stockbasedcompensation.pdf
https://tdmgrowthpartners.com/insight/stock-based-compensation-dilution-benchmarking-2024-update/
https://www.quantifiedstrategies.com/family-business-stocks/
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4992644_Founding-Family_Ownership_and_Firm_Performance_Evidence_from_the_SP_500
https://www.accaglobal.com/gb/en/student/exam-support-resources/professional-exams-study-resources/p5/technical-articles/demystifying-vbm.html
https://fortuna-advisors.com/the-dirty-dozen-stifling-value-based-management-diagnoses-and-solutions/



2 Responses
Interesting read on capital allocation—short-term pressure is real in our industry too. I’m in the beauty biz, where long horizons win, not quick quarterly flakes. Suplery helps salons, barbershops, and estheticians streamline orders and inventory in one place, so you can focus on growth rather than stock chaos. In Suplery we offer real-time stocktakes and a shared cart for real-time order building, plus wholesale pricing that keeps margins healthy. If you’re running a spa or nail studio, this platform could be a game-changer for efficiency and consistency. Let’s keep the focus on value, not just volume.
In my experience, short-term pressure is everywhere. It is the main habit I try to break. It can mean the fifference between running out of money or living a wonderful retirement.