Berk on Value

ValueAligned Investing

Patience Arbitrage: A Behavioral Guide to Long-Term Investing

A Beginner’s Framework for Ownership-Based Investing By David Berkowitz | VAP Wealth Advisors | March 2026 TL;DR Your brain treats a falling stock chart like a charging predator. The amygdala elicits the same fight-or-flight response to financial losses as to physical threats [PMC Neuroscience Study]. Loss aversion makes a 30%

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Market Analysis & VBM Context

Will AI Capex Save the S&P 500 from the 2026 Stagflation Trap?

The Oil Shock, the Stagflation Trap, and the Only Force Keeping Markets Afloat March 2026 | David Berkowitz, | ValueAligned Partners TL;DR Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, choking off 20% of global daily oil supply and sending WTI crude above $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022

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Portfolio Construction & Management

The Agentic Playbook: Surviving the $830B Software Crash

Robert Smith’s Blueprint for the $1 Trillion Software Boom Five Filters to Separate Software Winners from Losers After the $830 Billion Crash TL;DR The software sector lost $830 billion in six trading days after Anthropic launched new AI tools that spooked investors about the future of paid software. Robert Smith,

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